Pogon Siedlce 0-1 Tychy 71 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.04/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.07
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0-1
AWAY Tychy 71
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Tychy 71
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tychy 71 nicked a narrow win over Pogon Siedlce 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tychy 71 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 54% of the ball to Tychy 71's 46%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Tychy 71?

Pogon Siedlce 0-1 Tychy 71 in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Tychy 71?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tychy 71 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 33%, draw 28%, Tychy 71 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tychy 71), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tychy 71) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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