Nieciecza 4-2 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.0pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.89/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.90
+29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 2-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
19.08.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-1 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
01.05.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
05.11.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
02.03.2018 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-2 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
01.10.2017 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
4-2
AWAY Wisla Plock
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza saw off Wisla Plock 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Nieciecza had 63% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 37%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nieciecza and 1.50 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?

Nieciecza 4-2 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 44%, draw 28%, Wisla Plock 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
21 Aug 2024
21:30 Pogon Siedlce vs Tychy 71 Analysis →
21:30 Odra Opole vs Stal Stalowa Wola Analysis →