Teplice 2-3 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.17/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.22
-27% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.5 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.53 xG 1.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
212 Passes 358
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 38
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 4-1 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
22.10.2023 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
21.05.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
04.02.2023 Teplice Teplice 0-5 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
20.08.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
12.02.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-4 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
2-3
AWAY Banik Ostrava
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
186 Passes 368
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava edged past Teplice 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Banik Ostrava found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Teplice had 39% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 61%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Teplice and 2.50 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Banik Ostrava?

Teplice 2-3 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Teplice 31%, draw 29%, Banik Ostrava 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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