Jönköpings Södra 3-1 Lunds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.05
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jönköpings Södra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lunds BK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Lunds BK Lunds BK 2-0 HT 0-0 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
3-1
AWAY Lunds BK
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs Lunds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jönköpings Södra got the better of Lunds BK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Jönköpings Södra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 54% of the ball to Lunds BK's 46%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs Lunds BK?

Jönköpings Södra 3-1 Lunds BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs Lunds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jönköpings Södra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 38%, draw 24%, Lunds BK 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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