Umea FC 1-2 Hammarby Talang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
2.29/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.43
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hammarby Talang
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-2 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
01.10.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
13.05.2023 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 3-2 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
14.08.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 3-4 HT 2-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
10.04.2022 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 0-2 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
31.10.2021 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
1-2
AWAY Hammarby Talang
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Hammarby Talang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang squeezed past Umea FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Umea FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Umea FC had 53% of the ball to Hammarby Talang's 47%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby Talang led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Umea FC and 1.67 for Hammarby Talang.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Hammarby Talang?

Umea FC 1-2 Hammarby Talang in the Sweden - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Hammarby Talang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 52%, draw 24%, Hammarby Talang 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umea FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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