Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.56
Over
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.41
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
20%
4.96
6+
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli The Market 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
0.84/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.96
-31% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
1W-0D-2L
AWAY SS Monopoli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
21.02.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
25.10.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
24.11.2019 Cavese Cavese 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
0-1
AWAY SS Monopoli
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavese vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli nicked a narrow win over Cavese 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; SS Monopoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cavese had 62% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 38%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cavese and 0.67 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Cavese vs SS Monopoli?

Cavese 0-1 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cavese 33%, draw 30%, SS Monopoli 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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