Badalona (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.08/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.78
-15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
12.1 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.12 xG 0.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
251 Passes 431
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
1-0
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
2.29 xG 0.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
310 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona (K) squeezed past Madrid CFF (K) 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Badalona (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 46% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 54%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.29 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Badalona (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Badalona (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
21 Sep 2024
13:00 Granada (K) vs Eibar (K) Analysis →
13:00 Levante (K) vs Real Sociedad (K) Analysis →