Union Santa Fe 3-1 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.97
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.45
X/1
11%
3.71
X/2
8%
9.22
X/X
17%
3.64
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
13%
8.58
2/X
8%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +25%
1.52/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.45
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 67%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
30.5 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 259
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
22.09.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
05.05.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
26.07.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-1 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
26.08.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
01.03.2020 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-3 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
3-1
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.36 xG 0.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
259 Passes 217
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe beat Godoy Cruz 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 54% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 46%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.36 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Santa Fe and 0.50 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Godoy Cruz?

Union Santa Fe 3-1 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 32%, Godoy Cruz 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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