Al Wasl Dubai 3-1 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 Sep 2024

Al Wasl Dubai
3-1 HT 0-1
Al Nasr
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.59
Over 2.5
46%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.43
No
53%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
5.92
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
22%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.92 — our 31% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
35%
+19.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
65%
-19.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.5pp
53%
BTTS No
34%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Wasl Dubai v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.80/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.86
+28% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.1 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Nasr
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
17.05.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAECK
13.02.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
17.02.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
01.10.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
05.05.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai saw off Al Nasr 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Wasl Dubai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 0.67 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Al Wasl Dubai 3-1 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 44%, draw 28%, Al Nasr 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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