Beerschot VA 0-3 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Sep 2024

Beerschot VA
0-3 HT 0-1
St. Truidense
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.6
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
21%
5.45
X/2
10%
5.73
X/X
10%
4.52
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.87
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.39/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.24
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.8 Crosses 15.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.59 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
359 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.03.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-2 HT 2-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
13.09.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
30.12.2020 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
17.10.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 6-3 HT 5-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
28.04.2019 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
03.04.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense swept aside Beerschot VA 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Beerschot VA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Beerschot VA and 2.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense?

Beerschot VA 0-3 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 42%, draw 27%, St. Truidense 30%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
21 Sep 2024
19:15 Westerlo vs Royal Antwerp Analysis →
21:45 Anderlecht vs Sporting Charleroi Analysis →