Westerlo 1-2 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.41
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.75
X/2
11%
4.96
X/X
9%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.5
2/2
17%
2.87
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.88/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.16
+78% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
15.8 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.75 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-2 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
15.09.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.12.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 3-3 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
04.09.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
28.10.2021 Westerlo Westerlo 2-1 HT 2-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
02.12.2015 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-2
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.97 xG 1.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 8
212 Passes 324
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp edged past Westerlo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Royal Antwerp found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Westerlo had 42% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 58%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.97 to 1.08 — on chances, Westerlo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Westerlo and 2.17 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Royal Antwerp?

Westerlo 1-2 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 40%, draw 25%, Royal Antwerp 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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