Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0-1 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
64%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 25% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+8.6pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
64%
Away Win
74%
-10.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 78%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.11/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.57
+41% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neman Grodno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
27.09.2023 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-5 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
02.04.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
04.09.2022 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
22.04.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 1-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
26.09.2021 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0-1
AWAY Neman Grodno
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno squeezed past Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shakhtyor Soligorsk had 39% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 61%, shots finished 8-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shakhtyor Soligorsk and 1.50 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Neman Grodno?

Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0-1 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Shakhtyor Soligorsk 17%, draw 19%, Neman Grodno 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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