Posusje 3-1 Radnik Bijeljina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posusje EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.04/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.00
-29% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posusje
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2022 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
27.02.2022 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 3-1 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
18.09.2021 Posusje Posusje 1-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
POST-MATCH Posusje vs Radnik Bijeljina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posusje beat Radnik Bijeljina 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Posusje as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnik Bijeljina led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Posusje and 1.33 for Radnik Bijeljina.

What was the final score of Posusje vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Posusje 3-1 Radnik Bijeljina in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posusje vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Posusje win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Posusje 50%, draw 26%, Radnik Bijeljina 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Posusje) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Posusje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
21 Sep 2024
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