Borac Banja Luka 0-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.7pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 27%
+25% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.64/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.09
+15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borac Banja Luka
2W-4D-0L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
13.03.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-3 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSK
28.02.2024 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
05.11.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
18.10.2023 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
07.05.2023 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borac Banja Luka
0-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo nicked a narrow win over Borac Banja Luka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Borac Banja Luka at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borac Banja Luka had 64% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 36%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borac Banja Luka had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Borac Banja Luka and 0.50 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo?

Borac Banja Luka 0-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borac Banja Luka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Borac Banja Luka 45%, draw 24%, FK Sarajevo 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
21 Sep 2024
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