Corinthians 3-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
21%
3.59
X/2
6%
11.0
X/X
14%
4.71
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
11%
9.56
2/X
6%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.56/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.55
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.2 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
29.09.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
18.08.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 4-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK
28.07.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
05.06.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
13.09.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
3-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.65 xG 0.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
483 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians cruised past Atletico Goianiense 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Corinthians had 61% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 39%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.65 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Atletico Goianiense?

Corinthians 3-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 50%, draw 26%, Atletico Goianiense 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5
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