Paradou 2-0 ASO Chlef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -18%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.60
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradou
1W-4D-1L
AWAY ASO Chlef
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Paradou Paradou 2-3 HT 0-3 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
15.12.2023 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 1-1 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
24.02.2023 Paradou Paradou 2-2 HT 0-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
10.09.2022 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 1-1 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
25.02.2022 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 0-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
23.10.2021 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 1-0 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef CZYR
POST-MATCH Paradou vs ASO Chlef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradou saw off ASO Chlef 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Paradou found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paradou and 1.17 for ASO Chlef.

What was the final score of Paradou vs ASO Chlef?

Paradou 2-0 ASO Chlef in the Algeria - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs ASO Chlef?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paradou 40%, draw 29%, ASO Chlef 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradou), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paradou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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