Montpellier (K) 1-3 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 21 Sep 2024

Montpellier (K)
1-3 HT 0-2
PSG (K)
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2024/2025

Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.21
Over 2.5
41%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
28%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-14.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier (K) v PSG (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.99/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.85
-21% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -42%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
13.1 Crosses 26.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY PSG (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.83 xG 1.06
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
168 Passes 521
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1

Montpellier (K) 1-3 PSG (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-3
AWAY PSG (K)
0.39 xG 1.95
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
203 Passes 406
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) got the better of Montpellier (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 37% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 63%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.39 to 1.95.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-3 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 19%, draw 25%, PSG (K) 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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