Chippa United 1-0 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
39%
2.83
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.98
2-3 Goals
33%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
6.74
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
39%
Draw
32%
+6.8pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-7.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippa United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.12/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.91
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.2 Crosses 25.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippa United
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Richards Bay
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.94 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
330 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2024 Chippa United Chippa United 3-0 HT 2-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
19.09.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 1-1 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
03.05.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-3 HT 2-1 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
30.10.2022 Chippa United Chippa United 3-3 HT 0-2 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
19.06.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 2-1 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippa United
1-0
AWAY Richards Bay
0.47 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
273 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chippa United vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippa United squeezed past Richards Bay 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 39% / 27%) promised a tight game; Chippa United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chippa United had 51% of the ball to Richards Bay's 49%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.47 to 1.01 — on chances, Richards Bay could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chippa United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Chippa United and 1.40 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Chippa United vs Richards Bay?

Chippa United 1-0 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippa United vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chippa United 34%, draw 39%, Richards Bay 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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