Golden Arrows 2-0 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.15/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.20
+14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.6 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 Passes 315
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 3-2 HT 0-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
13.08.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
07.05.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
03.10.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 3-1 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
10.03.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-2 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
16.01.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
2-0
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.58 xG 0.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
281 Passes 395
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows saw off Marumo Gallants 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Golden Arrows found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 41% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 59%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.58 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Golden Arrows and 0.83 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants?

Golden Arrows 2-0 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 40%, draw 30%, Marumo Gallants 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Golden Arrows), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Golden Arrows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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