Cheonan City 1-0 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 42%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.34/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.84
-1% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Cheongju FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
10.03.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-2 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
27.08.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
15.07.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-2 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
06.05.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
1-0
AWAY Cheongju FC
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 13
220 Passes 386
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City edged past Cheongju FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cheonan City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cheonan City had 39% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 61%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cheongju FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheonan City and 1.40 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Cheongju FC?

Cheonan City 1-0 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cheongju FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 31%, draw 33%, Cheongju FC 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cheongju FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cheongju FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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