Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.07/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
+12% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.9 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 3-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
20.09.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
10.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-3 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
29.04.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
12.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
381 Passes 167
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa edged past Jeonnam Dragons 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Asan Mugunghwa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 64% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 36%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 2.17 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 39%, draw 26%, Jeonnam Dragons 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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