Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.36/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.78
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.1 Crosses 21.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 2.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
392 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
20.09.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
10.07.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-3 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
29.04.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
12.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOK
28.08.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3-2
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons nicked a narrow win over Asan Mugunghwa 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jeonnam Dragons as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 51% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 49%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.67 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 42%, draw 27%, Asan Mugunghwa 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
13 Jul 2024
13:30 Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings Analysis →
13:30 Cheongju FC vs Ansan Greeners Analysis →