Cheongju FC 2-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
39%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.17
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 39% vs market 36.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.6pp
39%
Draw
29%
+10.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.70/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
-50% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheongju FC
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
16.09.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
08.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
14.05.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheongju FC
2-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
521 Passes 290
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cheongju FC vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju FC nicked a narrow win over Ansan Greeners 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 39% / 28%) promised a tight game; Cheongju FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheongju FC had 59% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 41%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cheongju FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cheongju FC and 0.00 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Cheongju FC vs Ansan Greeners?

Cheongju FC 2-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheongju FC vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cheongju FC 33%, draw 39%, Ansan Greeners 28%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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