Cheonan City 1-2 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.88/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.76
-23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
11.05.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
1-2
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings squeezed past Cheonan City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 44% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 56%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings?

Cheonan City 1-2 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 24%, draw 27%, Suwon Bluewings 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings)
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