Daegu 1-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.0
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.86
X/2
10%
5.31
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
11%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.47
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.86/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.82
-24% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 Passes 586
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
07.04.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
19.08.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 2-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
04.06.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
08.04.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-0 HT 3-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
05.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-1
AWAY FC Seoul
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 12
326 Passes 471
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Daegu vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and FC Seoul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Daegu had 42% of the ball to FC Seoul's 58%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daegu and 1.17 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Daegu vs FC Seoul?

Daegu 1-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daegu 39%, draw 30%, FC Seoul 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Daegu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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