Suwon City 2-4 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.6
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.63
X/2
10%
5.72
X/X
11%
4.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.7
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 39%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
-57% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.8 Crosses 25.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 408
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-2 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
30.03.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-4 HT 0-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.10.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
13.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.06.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.04.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
2-4
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
426 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu saw off Suwon City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Gimcheon Sangmu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Suwon City had 55% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 45%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Suwon City and 1.83 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Suwon City 2-4 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 35%, draw 28%, Gimcheon Sangmu 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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