Mohammedan 1-1 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
+10.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 56%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.27/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.28
-100% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
11.0 Crosses 21.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mohammedan
1-1
AWAY FC Goa
2.51 xG 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mohammedan vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mohammedan and FC Goa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Goa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mohammedan had 45% of the ball to FC Goa's 55%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.51 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Mohammedan vs FC Goa?

Mohammedan 1-1 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 34%, draw 23%, FC Goa 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Goa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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