Jamshedpur 3-2 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.97
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
7%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.28/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.07
-30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
21.0 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mumbai City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.67 xG 1.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
183 Passes 403
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
04.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-3 HT 2-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
08.08.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 5-0 HT 3-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINDK
27.01.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-2 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.10.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 1-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
17.02.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-2 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
3-2
AWAY Mumbai City
0.81 xG 1.37
32% Ball Possession 68%
17 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
139 Passes 366
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 30
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur nicked a narrow win over Mumbai City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mumbai City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 32% of the ball to Mumbai City's 68%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 0.81 to 1.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mumbai City.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jamshedpur and 2.17 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City?

Jamshedpur 3-2 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 22%, draw 26%, Mumbai City 52%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HİNSL More India - Super League
21 Sep 2024
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