Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Chadormalu SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.04
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.0pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Chadormalu SC EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.55/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -59%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Chadormalu SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
04.05.2023 Chadormalu SC Chadormalu SC 2-2 HT 0-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANAZ
18.11.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Chadormalu SC Chadormalu SC IRANAZ
28.04.2022 Chadormalu SC Chadormalu SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANAZ
14.12.2021 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0 HT 0-0 Chadormalu SC Chadormalu SC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Chadormalu SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.75 for Chadormalu SC.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Chadormalu SC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 53%, draw 30%, Chadormalu SC 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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