Havadar 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.33
Over 2.5
36%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.28
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.31 — our 41% vs market 36.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.65/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.84
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
223 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.04.2024 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 3-3 HT 1-2 Havadar Havadar IRAN
06.10.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
30.12.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
28.02.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
19.11.2021 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Foolad Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foolad Khuzestan squeezed past Havadar 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Foolad Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Foolad Khuzestan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Havadar and 1.00 for Foolad Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Havadar 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Foolad Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Havadar 25%, draw 35%, Foolad Khuzestan 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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