Al Khor 1-2 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.14
-1% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
Crosses 28.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khor
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Shamal
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
202 Passes 410
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
20.02.2022 Al Khor Al Khor 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
30.10.2021 Al Shamal Al Shamal 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
15.03.2015 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khor
1-2
AWAY Al Shamal
0.98 xG 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 15
253 Passes 435
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Khor vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal squeezed past Al Khor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Shamal found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Khor had 39% of the ball to Al Shamal's 61%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.98 to 2.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Shamal's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Shamal led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Al Khor and 2.00 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Khor vs Al Shamal?

Al Khor 1-2 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khor vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Khor 34%, draw 27%, Al Shamal 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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