Umm Salal 4-2 Al Shahaniya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.79/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/0.89
-39% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
15.1 Crosses 11.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Shahaniya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
05.03.2020 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
06.12.2019 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KATYK
04.10.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 1-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
06.03.2015 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-4 HT 2-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
4-2
AWAY Al Shahaniya
0.96 xG 1.59
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
202 Passes 489
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Shahaniya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal beat Al Shahaniya 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Umm Salal had 32% of the ball to Al Shahaniya's 68%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.96 to 1.59 — on chances, Al Shahaniya could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Umm Salal and 1.75 for Al Shahaniya.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Shahaniya?

Umm Salal 4-2 Al Shahaniya in the Qatar League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Shahaniya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 41%, draw 27%, Al Shahaniya 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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