Atyrau 2-1 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.26/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.51
-16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zhenys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.06.2024 Zhenys 0-1 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau edged past Zhenys 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atyrau as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Zhenys?

Atyrau 2-1 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 45%, draw 33%, Zhenys 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atyrau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atyrau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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