21/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Atyrau vs Zhenys Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
33%
Draw
26%
22%
Away Win
24%
60%
Under 2.5
58%
40%
Over 2.5
42%
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
52%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atyrau v Zhenys — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Atyrau
EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
1.26/1.37
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/1.51
-16%
/
-22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-5%
/
-14%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
341 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
358 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Atyrau vs Zhenys Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Atyrau
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Zhenys
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Atyrau vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Atyrau edged past Zhenys 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atyrau as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Atyrau vs Zhenys?
Atyrau 2-1 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Zhenys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 45%, draw 33%, Zhenys 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atyrau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Atyrau)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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21 Sep 2024