Kairat 1-0 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.75/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.34
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
27.04.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
29.07.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
21.05.2023 Kairat Kairat 0-3 HT 0-3 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
27.10.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
22.09.2021 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
28.05.2021 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat squeezed past Kaisar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kairat and 0.67 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Kaisar?

Kairat 1-0 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kairat 47%, draw 27%, Kaisar 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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