Kaisar 1-0 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
0.68/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.96
-30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kairat
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.07.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
21.05.2023 Kairat Kairat 0-3 HT 0-3 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
27.10.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
22.09.2021 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
28.05.2021 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
19.03.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 0-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar nicked a narrow win over Kairat 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kaisar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kaisar and 1.50 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Kairat?

Kaisar 1-0 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 29%, draw 31%, Kairat 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kairat) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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