Atyrau 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.45
Over 2.5
27%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
32%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
37%
Draw
32%
+5.2pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-6.9pp
73%
Under 2.5
65%
+8.0pp
27%
Over 2.5
35%
-7.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.6pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.19/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.67
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +85%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
08.04.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
15.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-1 HT 2-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
14.05.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 3-3 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
24.10.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
24.05.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau beat Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 37% / 27%) promised a tight game; Atyrau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atyrau and 1.17 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Atyrau 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 36%, draw 37%, Kyzyl-Zhar 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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