Tobol 1-1 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

Tobol
1-1 HT 1-0
Zhenys
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.10/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.01
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol and Zhenys shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Tobol carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Zhenys?

Tobol 1-1 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tobol 59%, draw 20%, Zhenys 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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