Mathare United 1-1 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

Mathare United
1-1 HT 1-0
Sofapaka
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Mathare United vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mathare United v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 43%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mathare United vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sofapaka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
20.10.2021 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-2 HT 0-2 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United and Sofapaka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 32% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Sofapaka?

Mathare United 1-1 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 28%, draw 32%, Sofapaka 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sofapaka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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