TransMara Sugar 1-0 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.54
Over 2.5
50%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar nicked a narrow win over Nairobi City Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day TransMara Sugar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Nairobi City Stars?

TransMara Sugar 1-0 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 36%, draw 27%, Nairobi City Stars 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi City Stars) ✗ BTTS Yes
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