Al Salmiyah 2-2 Al Fahaheel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.81
2-3 Goals
32%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 32% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fahaheel EU Bookmakers 31%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.43/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.33
+81% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Salmiyah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Fahaheel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2024 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
02.05.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
07.03.2024 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 4-1 HT 3-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
06.12.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
20.05.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
13.04.2023 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
POST-MATCH Al Salmiyah vs Al Fahaheel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah and Al Fahaheel couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Salmiyah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Salmiyah and 1.33 for Al Fahaheel.

What was the final score of Al Salmiyah vs Al Fahaheel?

Al Salmiyah 2-2 Al Fahaheel in the Kuwait - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Salmiyah vs Al Fahaheel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Salmiyah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Salmiyah 42%, draw 33%, Al Fahaheel 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Salmiyah) ✗ Under 2.5
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