Tepatitlán de Morelos 6-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-14.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.76/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.64
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
9 Corners 4
07.03.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
14.09.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
15.03.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
19.08.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
14.01.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
05.08.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos cruised past Correcaminos UAT 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Correcaminos UAT led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.33 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 6-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 41%, draw 28%, Correcaminos UAT 31%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →