Correcaminos UAT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Mar 2024

Correcaminos UAT
2-0 HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 20%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.03/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.83
+14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.6

Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
4 Corners 9
The Meetings
14.09.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
15.03.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
19.08.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
14.01.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
05.08.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
11.03.2021 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT beat Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Correcaminos UAT as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.50 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Correcaminos UAT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 51%, draw 27%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Correcaminos UAT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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