Real Apodaca 2-2 Calor de San Pedro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
27%
4.95
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.0pp
27%
Draw
17%
+10.3pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Apodaca EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Calor de San Pedro EU Bookmakers 15%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Real Apodaca vs Calor de San Pedro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Apodaca and Calor de San Pedro shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Real Apodaca carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Real Apodaca vs Calor de San Pedro?

Real Apodaca 2-2 Calor de San Pedro in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Apodaca vs Calor de San Pedro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Apodaca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Apodaca 55%, draw 27%, Calor de San Pedro 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Apodaca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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