Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.29/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.49
+8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
8 Corners 5
25.08.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 4-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
27.03.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
05.09.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 3-0 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
04.03.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
04.08.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
08.04.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-3 HT 1-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa squeezed past Monarcas Morelia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Dorados De Sinaloa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 2.33 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Monarcas Morelia?

Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 32%, draw 30%, Monarcas Morelia 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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