Gzira United 2-2 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.7pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.08/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.31
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-2 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
29.10.2023 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
15.01.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-0 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTAK
18.01.2022 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
2-2
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United and Sliema Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sliema Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gzira United had 51% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 49%, shots finished 4-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gzira United and 1.00 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers?

Gzira United 2-2 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 28%, draw 29%, Sliema Wanderers 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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