Balzan FC 1-1 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-9.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 64%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
0.71/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.43
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-7 HT 1-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.09.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
06.11.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
22.01.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
1-1
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC and Hamrun Spartans shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Balzan FC had 48% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 52%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Balzan FC and 2.75 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Balzan FC 1-1 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 23%, draw 27%, Hamrun Spartans 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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