Nasarawa United 3-4 El Kanemi Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.6
No
52%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.1pp
37%
Draw
28%
+8.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
34%
+13.3pp
52%
BTTS No
66%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
3-4
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs El Kanemi Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Kanemi Warriors squeezed past Nasarawa United 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nasarawa United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 53% of the ball to El Kanemi Warriors's 47%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Nasarawa United 3-4 El Kanemi Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 44%, draw 37%, El Kanemi Warriors 19%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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