Lobi Stars 0-1 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
55%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.33/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.20
-11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
242 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rivers United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
13.03.2024 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 3-2 HT 2-1 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
07.04.2022 Rivers United Rivers United 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
19.12.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
21.03.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 4-1 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
0-1
AWAY Rivers United
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rivers United nicked a narrow win over Lobi Stars 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lobi Stars at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 65% of the ball to Rivers United's 35%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lobi Stars had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lobi Stars and 1.25 for Rivers United.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Rivers United?

Lobi Stars 0-1 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 50%, draw 30%, Rivers United 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lobi Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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