Lobi Stars 3-2 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.38
Over 2.5
27%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
No
69%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.9pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.0pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.8pp
73%
Under 2.5
69%
+3.9pp
27%
Over 2.5
31%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.44/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.63
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rivers United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.04.2022 Rivers United Rivers United 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
19.12.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
21.03.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 4-1 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
3-2
AWAY Rivers United
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars edged past Rivers United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lobi Stars as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 57% of the ball to Rivers United's 43%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lobi Stars and 1.00 for Rivers United.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Rivers United?

Lobi Stars 3-2 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 47%, draw 34%, Rivers United 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobi Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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