Akwa United 3-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Mar 2024

Akwa United
3-1 HT 2-1
Bendel Insurance
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Akwa United vs Bendel Insurance Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.33
Over 2.5
27%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
23%
3.14
No
77%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
73%
Under 2.5
72%
+1.2pp
27%
Over 2.5
28%
-1.2pp
23%
BTTS Yes
28%
-4.4pp
77%
BTTS No
72%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akwa United v Bendel Insurance — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.69/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.49
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United beat Bendel Insurance 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Akwa United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (77%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Akwa United 3-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 46%, draw 31%, Bendel Insurance 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akwa United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Akwa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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